Mar 19
FOREX Currency Exchange Market - The Market that Makes NASDAQ Look Like a Lemonade Stand
FOREX Currency Exchange Market - The Market that Makes NASDAQ Look Like a Lemonade Stand
Most people still have no clue. It s not even listed in the financial section of most U.S. newspapers. Yet the Forex does more business in one day than all the stock markets in the world do in 60 days! That s right ” we re talking between 1.8 ” 2.2 Trillion dollars of business every day. What is the FOREX, or FX for short? Both are acronyms for Foreign (Currency) Exchange. Up to the late 1990 s ” this incredible market was the domain of the privileged: Central Banks, large financial institutions (Goldman Saks, etc), high net worth individuals, and governments. Today everyday people are now able to enter - and profit from - this incredible marketplace. There are a bunch of benefits that make the Forex market a far superior investing &/or trading vehicle than any other financial instrument in the world. For example: In the stock market ” if you open an account with at least $25,000.00 ” the Broker will allow you to purchase $50,000.00 worth of stocks. That is allowing you to Leverage your money on a 2:1 basis (2 to 1). Not bad right? Well compare that to what many Forex Brokers are offering: 100:1, 200:1 and even 400:1 are available ” even for starting balances of just $1,000.00. This means for every $1,000.00 of your money you bring to the table you can control up to $400,000.00 of currency! Now THAT s what I call Leverage. What s important about Leverage? Using Other People s Money (OPM) has been a major source of people & businesses generating wealth. Business loans, real estate loans, etc. Using the Forex to access large leverage rates offers gigantic opportunity for making money ” and now the average Joe can get in on the action. The fact is that banks and institutions like Goldman Saks have made a good portion of their profits from trading in the FOREX (there s a reason the tallest buildings in every town are bank buildings). The challenge in taking advantage of this market lies in the typical learning curve required to become a successful trader in the Financial Markets. This applies to whether you are trading Stocks, Options, Futures, or the Forex. Training and Trade Recommendation services abound ” but need to be scrutinized closely. Many charge thousands of dollars for software, training, or both. The point is ” don t get swept up in the excitement of the huge profits available in the market before doing your homework. Contact me if you want to learn the other major benefits of trading the FOREX over stocks, options, etc ” the differences will amaze you. If you are able to find just 20 minutes a week I can help you to enter and profit from this incredible market - even if you are a complete beginner to investing. If you can use a PC ” then you are well on your way!
John T Kelly is a partner in the Vision Group - a business focused on sharing personal and financial leverage to build dynamic organizations and incomes. His broad background includes working in Management, Consulting, and as a Hypnotherapist/Business Coach. Contact John for a copy of a Sample Report on the latest breakthroughs in generating personal wealth. http://www.Simple-Forex-Profits.com
10 Golden Rules For Stock Trading Success
Your stock trading rules are your money. When you follow your rules you make money. However if you break your own stock trading rules the most likely outcome is that you will lose money.
Once you have a reliable set of stock trading rules it is important to keep them in mind. Here is one discipline that can reap rewards. Read these rules before your day starts and also read the rules when your day ends.
Rule 1: I must follow my rules.
Naturally if you develop a set of rules they are to be followed. It is human nature to want to vary or break rules and it takes discipline to continue to act in accordance with the established rules.
Rule 2: I will never risk more than 3% of my total portfolio on any one stock trade.
There are many old traders. There are many bold traders. But there are never any old bold traders. Protecting your capital base is fundamental to successful stock market trading over time.
Rule 3: I will cut my losses at 5% to 15% when I am wrong without question.
Some traders have an even lower tolerance for loss. The key point here is to have set points (stop loss) within the limits of your tolerance for loss. Stay informed about the performance of you stock and stick to your stop loss point.
Rule 4: Never set price targets.
This is a style that will allow me to get the most out of rising stocks. Simply let the profits run. Realistically, I can never pick tops. Never feel a stock has risen too high too quickly. Be willing to give back a good percentage of profits in the hope of much bigger profits.
The big money is made from trading the really BIG moves that I can occasionally catch.
Rule 5: Master one style.
Keep learning and getting better at this one method of trading. Never jump from one trading style to another. Master one style rather than become average at implementing several styles.
Rule 6: Let price and volume be my guides.
Never listen to any opinion about the stock market or individual stocks you are considering trading or are already trading. Everything is reflected in the price and volume.
Rule 7: Take all valid signals that show up.
Don’t make excuses. If an entry signal shows up you have no excuse not to take it.
Rule 8: Never trade from intra-day data. There is always stock price variation within the course of any trading day. Relying on this data for momentum trading can lead to some wrong decisions.
Rule 9: Take time out.
Successful stock trading isn’t solely about trading. It’s also about emotional strength and physical fitness. Reduce the stress every day by taking time off the computer and working on other areas. A stressful trader will not make it in the long term.
Rule 10: Be an above average trader.
In order to succeed in the stock market you don’t need to do anything exceptional. You simply need to not do what the average trader does. The average trader is inconsistent and undisciplined. Ask yourself every day, “Did I follow my method today?” If your answer is no then you are in trouble and it’s time to recommit yourself to your stock trading rules.
The Momentum Stock Trading System, is a highly effective, stress free trading method that focuses on big moves for big profits. Mark provides a complimentary copy of "The 7 Habits of a Highly Successful Trader" at <a href="http://www.stressfreetrading.com">http://www.stressfreetrading.com</a>
Why A Negative Forex Feedback Attracts More Attention Then Positive Ones
Why would customers give feedback at all? There’s got to be a strong motive behind it, because no one wants to waste their time for nothing. In forex business, for example, when a customer posts a feedback about a service or product they experienced, it’s usually because he/she was frustrated about the experience and posting a negative feedback would be the only way to vent it. By common sense, nobody (or rarely anybody) would love a forex product or service so much that they spend all the time to post a nice feedback about it, unless of course, somebody pays them to do so.
With that in mind, you can speculate that most positive feedback messages are not much of value, as they probably carry some kind of agenda in the dark. Wait a minute, but that doesn’t mean all negative feedback are candid. Think about it… suppose you have a forex product that you make some money out of it. Suddenly there’s another site that also sells a similar product. You can see that part of your sales are lost to that competitor. So naturally, you may try your best to persuade potential customers to buy from you instead of your competitor. The most effective way is to launch a smear campaign, like faking negative feedback and reviews about your competitor. Smear campaigns, although dirty and humiliating, are proven to be very effective in politics. Marketing is no exception. Most people back away from purchases after they read negative feedback about the merchant or product.
But why are negative feedback still considered more helpful? Well, it’s sort of like an exam, where a multiple-choice question is a lot more easier to do then an open question. In a multiple-choice question, you can try to eliminate the less likely answers to pick the most likely one. Whereas in an open question, you may not know exactly where to start. Similarly, if all reviews and feedback about a product were positive, then you would have to think very hard to figure out any possible cons among the given pros. As the matter of fact, all merchants already do a good job of listing out all the pros about their products. So you don’t really need others to tell you all good things about those. But rather, you need the negative ones. You need to read a lot of them and eliminate whatever that don’t make sense to narrow them down to the mostly likely negative sides of the product.
Many people are perfectionists. They either have the correct information or nothing at all. But in real life there’s hardly anything perfect. Perhaps life is pretty much a process of eliminating the unwanted in search of what you want, and that’s what happening at ForexCop.com!
Lily DeLaire wasted lots of money on junk forex products and services. Now she wants to prevent others and herself from wasting more money. Visit <a href="http://www.forexcop.com">Forex Cop</a> for details.
China's New Currency Regime
The forex market was caught off guard on Thursday, July 21 when The People s Bank of China (PBC) announced that China was reforming the renminbi (People’s Currency) exchange rate regime. The base unit for the renminbi is the yuan, which is how the Chinese currency is most commonly referred to. The official ISO abbreviation for the yuan is CNY, but it is also commonly abbreviated in the forex industry as RMB.
The yuan had been pegged at 8.28 to the dollar since 1994. While China has been openly discussing scrapping the dollar peg for several years, many traders weren’t expecting a move until later in the year.
The PBC declared that the new regime would be a managed floating exchange rate based on supply and demand in relation to a basket of currencies comprised of the U.S. dollar, euro, yen and the Korean won. The yuan’s central rate against the dollar was then adjusted by just over 2% to 8.11. Keep in mind that the RMB exchange rate is quoted in dollar terms, in other words, the dollar is the base rate of this currency pair. A 2% positive revaluing of the RMB results in a 2% decline in the dollar rate versus the Chinese currency.
According to the PBC, the RMB will now be allowed to fluctuate up to 0.3% on any given trading day with the daily closing price then serving as the midpoint of the next day’s trading range. That could mean as much as a 6% move in either direction in a month. However, the PBC is very unlikely to allow for that kind of movement and has in fact already intervened in the forex market to prevent the yuan from straying too far from 8.11. With over US$700 billion in currency reserves they certainly have the power to enforce their wishes and it’s doubtful that forex speculators will be willing to test the resolve of the PBC in any meaningful way any time soon.
While the floating of the yuan, albeit tightly controlled, is a significant policy shift, the initial revaluing of the RMB is seen as largely symbolic. Chinese president Hu Jintao visits Washington in September and the modest revaluation may have succeeded in heading off a face to face showdown on China’s exchange rate policy. Critics contend that the yuan is undervalued by more than 20%, affording China an unfair trade advantage. U.S. manufacturers have demanded as much as a 40% revaluation. A more significant move than 2%
is needed to truly affect the massive trade imbalance between China and the U.S., so there will undoubtedly be calls for further RMB appreciation.
So where might the renminbi be headed longer term? One year non-deliverable forward contracts in Singapore rose to RMB 7.64 before edging higher again, suggesting scope for an additional 6% of RMB gains over the next twelve months. More aggressive projections suggest potential for 7% appreciation by year end and up to 15% gains by the end of 2006. However, traders can be assured that any such projections will only be achieved if the PBC will allow it.
Given the tight constraints of the new renminbi regime it is unlikely that CFS clients will see any RMB trades in their accounts any time soon. First of all it will take several months of operation to allow traders to get a handle on how the new managed float will operate. There’s just very little transparency at this point.
While there may not be any trading opportunities in the RMB any time soon, China’s move has created opportunities elsewhere. Other Asian currencies such as the Japanese yen rebounded on the news, but quickly retraced when it became apparent that the RMB wasn’t really going anywhere. The yen is likely to remain under pressure as the dust settles, although near term losses may be a little more tentative while focus remains on China.
The biggest reaction to the policy shift by China, and likely the most sustainable, was seen in the U.S. treasury market where yields shot higher. The new exchange regime suggests that China is likely to be a less reliable buyer of U.S. treasuries as well as the dollar. Higher treasury yields will net higher mortgage rates which may prick the U.S. housing bubble,
dampening home sales and the consumer spending commonly associated with the purchase of a home.
Higher corporate lending rates are likely to negatively impact stock prices and the broader U.S. economy. Ultimately we could see a resumption of the long term downtrend in the
dollar. While this assessment may seem bleak in a broad sense, this is exactly why alternative investments, such as the Managed FX products of CFS, are an integral part of a diversified portfolio.
The burning question now becomes: are we better off having forced China’s hand on their currency policy? I don’t think there’s any question that the ideal is a free floating and open
exchange rate, where market forces set the price and government intervention is limited. However, the pains associated with the aforementioned scenarios may be greater in the
near term than any competitive advantage the U.S. might gain as a result of higher yuan.
copyright 2005 Peter A. Grant - Vice President of Operations, CFS Capital Management http://www.cfscap.com Peter Grant has spent the majority of his career involved in the global foreign exchange (FX) market. Pete spent twelve years with S&P - MMS, where he became the Senior Managing FX Strategist. He was consistently recognized for providing invaluable services to his clients in the areas of custom trading strategies and risk assessment. The financial press frequently reported his personal market insights, risk evaluations and forecasts.
Currency Options
One of the ways to hedge a FOREX transaction is with what is called a currency option. A currency option gives the holder the right to buy or sell a specified currency during a specific time period, but the holder is not obligated to buy or sell.
Call options and Put options are the two types of currency options. With a call option the holder has the right to buy currency. A Put option gives the holder the right to sell.
The worth of a call or put option at time of expiration is equal to the value realized by the holder in exercising the option. If the holder gains nothing, the option is worthless. The intrinsic value of the option is the value when the option is bought or sold.
Strike priced is what drives the intrinsic value of an option. A call option has an intrinsic value if the current price is above the strike price while a put option has intrinsic value if the spot price is below the strike price.
The spot and time value are taken into account when figuring out an option price. Time value is measured using the expected market conditions and the difference in interest rate between the two currencies. The price charged for options must be kept low enough to attract buyers and high enough to attract writers.
FOREX markets use currency options to minimize risks against moves in the market. When you purchase an option any losses are limited to the cost of the option. There are many types of options available to be used as hedges. To ward against loss from fluctuations in foreign exchange markets some companies use these.
A Digital option pays at expiration of the option. Traders generally use this option after much consideration regarding market movement and payoff amount.
This article courtesy of <a href="http://www.forex-shopper.com" target="_blank">http://www.forex-shopper.com</a>
Best Forex trading tips Posted By : Agnesuma
Trade in pairs not in currency- Like any relationship; you need to know both the sides. Success or failure in forex currency trading relies upon being right about both foreign currencies and how they contact each other, not just one. Understand the basics - When you start to trading currency online, it is indispensable that you understand the basics of this particular market if you desire to make the most of your investments