Oct 24 2008 FXDD Video Report - www.fxdd.com
Oct 24 2008 FXDD Video Report - www.fxdd.com
Forex Trading: USDCHF moves lower on flight into the Swiss Franc
The Swiss Franc has traditionally been a safe haven currency. The turmoil has led to a sharp decline into the Swiss Franc today. The pair has moved sharply lower in London trade, breaking through the 100 hour moving average at 1.1578, but stopping short of the 200 hour moving average at 1.1467. These two levels will be the levels watched by the market today. A break lower belwo 1.1467 should solicit additional selling. While a break above the 1.1578 should attract buying.

Forex Trading: EURUSD has moved back up to the floor from yesterday
The EURUSD has moved back to the floor from yesterday at the 1.2728 level. The markets continue to trade in a volatile range. Expect resistance. A break is a positive but watching the stocks as we head into the London/Europe close in the current hour of trading

Forex Trading: GBPUSD plunges through 50% retracement of move up from 1985 low
The GBPUSD plunged overnight on the back of the weaker than expected GDP (biggest decline since the 3rd quarter of 1990). The pair moved to the midpoint of the move up from the 1985 low of 1.0463 to the high set in November 2007 at 2.1160. The level comes in at 1.5811.
The pair intiial moved down to this key level, bounced but eventually gave way - plunging to a low of 1.5265. Expect sellers against the 1.5811 level. Today will be volatile so even though we are currently trading at 1.5650 area, a move toward this level is not out of the question.

Forex Trading: GBPUSD and EURUSD Consolidate near key levels
The EURUSD and the GBPUSD have been under pressure the entire week as the feeling perists that what is bad for the US is worse for Eurozone and UK. The reasons citied are that the exposure to the emerging economies will effect those economies more. In addition, the thought is both are behind the curve with regard to stimulus to their ailing economies.

As per previous posts, the EURUSD had stalled at the 1.2730 level which was the floor over the last few days. A break higher is needed to help the pair. A break above would target the 100 hour moving average at the 1.2956 level (blue line). The currency trend is down however.

Forex News: Deflationary trend continues
The deflationary transition continues on the back of the deleveraging of the global imbalances. Oil is down over $4.00 despite the cut in production of 1.5 million barrels. Copper is down over 4.00 cents, or 6%. Gold is down $20 dollars despite the turmoil. This suggests to me that deflation is more powerful than turmoil. Dow Futures are down limit. US bond yields are down sharply. 3 month T-bill rates are down to 0.86%.

FXDD Today: A recap of today and preview of the Economic Releases for Monday
FXDD Today combines end of day prices, a graphical preview of the economic releases for the next trading day, and a Market Recap of the current days key activities in a concise one page format. It is designed to be used through the trading day and also as a historical record for review. We hope you find it to be useful and helps you become more informed, so you can be a better trader.
CLICK HERE FOR FXDD TODAY (PDF)
How to succeed as a newbie FOREX investor.
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FXDD: A word about Turbulent Markets from FXDD
In addition, the credit markets have witnessed an upheaval of unprecedented proportion. This disruption in the credit markets has affected everyone, including the largest financial institutions. It has also created a liquidity crunch in the overnight rates that banks use to fund their foreign exchange positions. As a result of this uncertainty, the volatility in short term rates and a desire by banks to hoard cash, the swap rates used to calculate rollovers in the interbank market have become much wider.
Forex Trading: GBPUSD squeezed through 1.5811 key level

The GBPUSD squeezed through the 1.5811 level (50% midpoint of the move up from the 1985 low to the November 2007 high), triggered stops but moved back lower. Another move above should solicit some profit taking on an intraday basis. It may also give sellers a level to sell against. Watch the stock market of course.
The home sales data should help the stocks a little. However, the large price decline should not make homeowners feel any better and may negate the positive headline number
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